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South Korea U22 vs Iraq U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Goh Young-Jun
Assist: Hong Si-Hoo

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between South Korea U22 and Iraq U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Korea U22
6%
Draws
4%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Korea U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Korea U22 come out ahead of Iraq U23 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Korea U22 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
South Korea U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U22 Iraq U23
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Friendly International
South Korea U22 vs Iraq U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goh Young-Jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Iraq U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U22 95 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U22 Iraq U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea U22 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (23 games).

Iraq U23 let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

South Korea U22 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Iraq U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U22 VS Iraq U23
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%