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South Korea U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Paloma Mizuho Stadium, Nagoya
South Korea U23 Logo

South Korea U23

2 - 0
FT
Saudi Arabia U23 Logo

Saudi Arabia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Houssa E. In: Al Bishri A.
Out: Houssa E.
46'
Sub
Barnawi M. In: Aldawood M.
Out: Barnawi M.
54'
Sub
Yang Min-Hyuk In: Bae Jun-Ho
Out: Yang Min-Hyuk
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games game between South Korea U23 and Saudi Arabia U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
South Korea U23
15%
Draws
16%
Saudi Arabia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia U23 haven't matched South Korea U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans South Korea U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U23 Saudi Arabia U23
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 20 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.09 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Asian Games
South Korea U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
2:0
Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs South Korea U23
2:0
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs South Korea U23
4:0
Apr 9, 2024 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs South Korea U23
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 WAFF Championship U23
South Korea U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shin Min-Ha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U23 95 / 100
Saudi Arabia U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U23 Saudi Arabia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: South Korea U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

South Korea U23's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Saudi Arabia U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U23 VS Saudi Arabia U23
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Australia U23
2 : 2
South Korea U23
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
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Saudi Arabia U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)