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South Korea U23 vs USA U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Baker-Whiting R.
12' Event
Park Seung-Ho
15' Event
Brennan L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between South Korea U23 and USA U21 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
South Korea U23
15%
Draws
36%
USA U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • South Korea U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans South Korea U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 10%
USA U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U23 USA U21
Matches Played 27 7
Wins 15 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.74 2
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
South Korea U23 vs USA U21
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Seung-Ho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

USA U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baker-Whiting R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brennan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U23 38 / 100
USA U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U23 USA U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: South Korea U23 scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: South Korea U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U23 VS USA U21
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea U23

(Home)
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
09 Jun
South Korea U23
0 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U23
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USA U21

(Away)
08 Jun
USA U21
0 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
South Korea U23
1 : 4
USA U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
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