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South Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Paloma Mizuho Stadium, Nagoya
South Korea U23 Logo

South Korea U23

4 - 0
FT
Vietnam U23 Logo

Vietnam U23

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lee Young-Jun
Assist: Lee Hyun-ju
46'
Sub
Yang Min-Hyuk In: Eom Ji-Sung
Out: Yang Min-Hyuk
52'
Lee Hyun-ju
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
South Korea U23
20%
Draws
19%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • South Korea U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • South Korea U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • South Korea U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Korea U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.09 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Asian Games
South Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23
4:0
Jan 23, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs South Korea U23
3:2
Jun 5, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs South Korea U23
1:1
Aug 29, 2018 Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs South Korea U23
1:3
Jan 11, 2018 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Young-Jun
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Ji-Soo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vietnam U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U23 95 / 100
Vietnam U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U23 Vietnam U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: South Korea U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

South Korea U23's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Vietnam U23 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U23 VS Vietnam U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Australia U23
2 : 2
South Korea U23
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

Vietnam U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Korea U23 4
Vietnam U23 0
China U23 3
Thailand U23 0
Uzbekistan U23 3
Saudi Arabia U23 0
Japan U23 1
North Korea U23 0
Semi-finals
South Korea U23 2
China U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 1
Japan U23 2
Final
South Korea U23 1
Japan U23 0
China U23 3
Uzbekistan U23 2