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South Korea vs Ecuador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Porozo J.
14'
Park Jin-Seob
21'
Arroyo K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between South Korea and Ecuador finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
South Korea
15%
Draws
26%
Ecuador
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • South Korea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans South Korea's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
South Korea Clean Sheet 68%
Ecuador Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea Ecuador
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 13
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.6 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Friendly International
South Korea vs Ecuador
3:0
May 16, 2010 Friendly International
South Korea vs Ecuador
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Oh Hyeon-Gyu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Son Heung-Min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ecuador Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 86 / 100
Ecuador 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea Ecuador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Korea scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: South Korea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ecuador lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS Ecuador
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea

(Home)
06 Oct
South Korea
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
South Korea
1 : 4
Uruguay
24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
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Ecuador

(Away)
05 Oct
Ecuador
1 : 2
Panama
01 Oct
Japan
1 : 0
Ecuador
24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0
Ecuador
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
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