Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
South Korea play Japan in the EAFF E-1 Football Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Korea averaged 1.84 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Japan averaged 2.48 goals scored and 0.52 conceded. In past meetings, South Korea won 2, Japan won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 15, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for South Korea and 1.44 for Japan. This points to a Japan double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- South Korea picked up more points recently compared to Japan.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Korea | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 22 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 2.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Korea Compare
Japan Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Korea scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Japan let in goals in 35% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
South Korea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Japan lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics