Sport Picks

Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Yongin Mireu Stadium

Match Events

Germain R.

Assist: Soma Y.

10'

Kawabe H.

45'

Soma Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Korea host Japan in the EAFF E-1 Football Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Japan have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while South Korea have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Japan slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Japan to edge this. Japan in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

South Korea

30%

Draws

34%

Japan

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Japan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to South Korea.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for South Korea.
League standings and seasonal metrics in EAFF E-1 Football Championship provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

South Korea Clean Sheet 16%

Japan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Korea	Japan
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	18	23
Draws	6	6
Losses	6	3
Goals Scored	1.63	2.13
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

South Korea vs Japan

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Jul 27, 2022 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Japan vs South Korea

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Mar 25, 2021 Friendly International

Japan vs South Korea

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Dec 18, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

South Korea vs Japan

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Dec 16, 2017 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Japan vs South Korea

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Germain R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 36 / 100

Japan 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Korea Japan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Japan let in goals in 31% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

South Korea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS Japan

1.63 Goals Scored 2.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%