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South Korea vs Paraguay

World World

Friendly International 2025 Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Eom Ji-Sung
46'
Sub
Son Heung-Min In: Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Out: Son Heung-Min
46'
Sub
Lee Dong-Gyeong In: Lee Kang-In
Out: Lee Dong-Gyeong

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between South Korea and Paraguay finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Korea
33%
Draws
27%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • South Korea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on South Korea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
South Korea Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea Paraguay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
South Korea vs Paraguay
2:0
Jun 10, 2022 Friendly International
South Korea vs Paraguay
2:2
Oct 10, 2014 Friendly International
South Korea vs Paraguay
2:0
Aug 12, 2009 Friendly International
South Korea vs Paraguay
1:0
Jan 19, 2005 Friendly International
Paraguay vs South Korea
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Eom Ji-Sung
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oh Hyeon-Gyu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Paraguay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 50 / 100
Paraguay 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: South Korea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Paraguay conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS Paraguay
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea

(Home)
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
19 Jun
Mexico
1 : 0
South Korea
12 Jun
South Korea
2 : 1
Czech Republic
04 Jun
South Korea
1 : 0
El Salvador
31 May
South Korea
5 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
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Paraguay

(Away)
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
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