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South Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women GFA National Training Center
Tue, Jun 9, 2026
5 - 3
08:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Sujeong Y.
53' Event
Kim Hye-Ri
(Penalty)
54' Event
Hsu Yi-Yun

AI Match Summary

South Korea W host Chinese Taipei W in the EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Chinese Taipei W have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while South Korea W have conceded 2.5 and scored 2.25. Head-to-head, South Korea W have won 5 to Chinese Taipei W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 5:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.69) point toward South Korea W. South Korea W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Korea W
33%
Draws
27%
Chinese Taipei W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chinese Taipei W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to South Korea W.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for South Korea W.
  • Cup tournament structure in EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 10%
Chinese Taipei W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea W Chinese Taipei W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.25 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
South Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
5:3
Jul 16, 2025 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
South Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
2:0
Jul 26, 2022 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
South Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:0
Dec 15, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
South Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
3:0
Aug 31, 2018 Asian Games Women
South Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sujeong Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jang Sel-Gi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Chinese Taipei W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hsu Yi-Yun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chen Jin-Wen
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea W 38 / 100
Chinese Taipei W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea W Chinese Taipei W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea W scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Chinese Taipei W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

South Korea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chinese Taipei W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea W VS Chinese Taipei W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
South Korea W5
Chinese Taipei W3