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South Korea W vs Uzbekistan W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women Accor Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Son Hwa-Yeon
Assist: Choe Yu-Ri
20' Event
Ko Yoo-Jin
46'
Sub
Khusniddinova S. In: Khabibullaeva D.
Out: Khusniddinova S.

AI Match Summary

South Korea W host Uzbekistan W in the Asian Cup Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. South Korea W have averaged 2.25 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Uzbekistan W's 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor South Korea W slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 6:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.94) point toward South Korea W. South Korea W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Korea W
6%
Draws
4%
Uzbekistan W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Uzbekistan W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for South Korea W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Asian Cup Women increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 68%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea W Uzbekistan W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Asian Cup Women
South Korea W vs Uzbekistan W
6:0
Feb 20, 2025 Friendly International Women
South Korea W vs Uzbekistan W
3:0
Sep 23, 2021 Asian Cup Women
South Korea W vs Uzbekistan W
4:0
Apr 11, 2017 Asian Cup Women
South Korea W vs Uzbekistan W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Hwa-Yeon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ko Yoo-Jin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Uzbekistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea W 95 / 100
Uzbekistan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea W Uzbekistan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Uzbekistan W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

South Korea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea W VS Uzbekistan W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Korea W6
Uzbekistan W0
Japan W7
Philippines W0
China W2
Chinese Taipei W0
Australia W2
North Korea W1
Semi-finals
South Korea W1
Japan W4
China W1
Australia W2
Final
Japan W1
Australia W0