Sport Picks
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City SC
Australia
NPL Victoria Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne 
Match Events
56'
56'
Bonada N.
72'
72'
Guy Z.
77'
77'
Swibel J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria game between South Melbourne and Dandenong City SC finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Melbourne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: South Melbourne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Dandenong City SC haven't matched South Melbourne's recent run of results.
- South Melbourne are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 14%
Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Melbourne | Dandenong City SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 10, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs South Melbourne
0:2
Mar 31, 2026 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City SC
4:2
Jul 4, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs South Melbourne
3:3
Mar 31, 2025 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City SC
1:3
Jul 19, 2024 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City SC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Melbourne Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonada N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Swibel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Dandenong City SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Guy Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bower W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Melbourne 66 / 100
Dandenong City SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Melbourne Dandenong City SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
South Melbourne scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Dandenong City SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
South Melbourne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Melbourne VS Dandenong City SC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
South Melbourne
(Home) 24 Jul
Oakleigh Cannons
1 : 2 South Melbourne
18 Jul
South Melbourne
0 : 0 Preston Lions
10 Jul
Dandenong City SC
0 : 2 South Melbourne
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
South Melbourne
0 : 0 Preston Lions
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
07 Jun
South Melbourne
2 : 3 Altona Magic
25 May
South Melbourne
0 : 4 Avondale FC
Page 1 of 4
Dandenong City SC
(Away) 24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0 Dandenong City SC
17 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
2 : 1 Dandenong City SC
10 Jul
Dandenong City SC
0 : 2 South Melbourne
04 Jul
Hume City
0 : 0 Dandenong City SC
26 Jun
Dandenong City SC
3 : 1 Avondale FC
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0 Dandenong City SC
17 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
2 : 1 Dandenong City SC
04 Jul
Hume City
0 : 0 Dandenong City SC
20 Jun
George Cross
3 : 2 Dandenong City SC
30 May
Melbourne City U21
0 : 1 Dandenong City SC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 45:20 | 47 |
| 2 | Hume City | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:28 | 40 |
| 3 | Preston Lions | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 31:16 | 36 |
| 4 | Avondale FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 54:28 | 35 |
| 5 | South Melbourne | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 33:33 | 35 |
| 6 | Heidelberg Utd | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:26 | 34 |
| 7 | George Cross | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 28:28 | 31 |
| 8 | Melbourne City U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 30 |
| 9 | St Albans | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:39 | 27 |
| 10 | Dandenong City SC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | 23 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 23 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 20:46 | 19 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23:46 | 15 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)