Sport Picks
South Melbourne vs St Albans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Victoria Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne 
Match Events
31'
31'
Mesourouni A.
40'
40'
Mesourouni A.
AI Match Summary
South Melbourne in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Melbourne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Albans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- St Albans haven't matched South Melbourne's recent run of results.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on St Albans taking it.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 14%
St Albans Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Melbourne | St Albans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs St Albans
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs South Melbourne
0:4
Jun 6, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs South Melbourne
2:2
Mar 3, 2025 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs St Albans
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 NPL Victoria
South Melbourne vs St Albans
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Melbourne Compare
Top Goalscorer Mesourouni A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82
St Albans Compare
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Melbourne 27 / 100
St Albans 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Melbourne St Albans
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Albans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Melbourne scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
St Albans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
South Melbourne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
South Melbourne VS St Albans
2 Goals Scored 2.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
South Melbourne
(Home) 15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1 South Melbourne
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0 South Melbourne
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2 South Melbourne
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3 Fremantle City
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0 St Albans
Page 1 of 4
St Albans
(Away) 29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2 St Albans
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0 St Albans
24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2 Hume City
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2 St Albans
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0 St Albans
18 Jul
Avondale FC
1 : 1 St Albans
03 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
1 : 1 St Albans
05 Jun
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 2 St Albans
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56:24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65:34 | 47 |
| 4 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 39 |
| 7 | George Cross | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City U21 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:65 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
