Sport Picks
South Shields vs Chester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
22'
22'
Waters B.
28'
28'
Scott C.
63'
63'
Onanaye T.
AI Match Summary
South Shields in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Shields.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chester lately — more wins on the board than South Shields.
- South Shields are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- South Shields have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
South Shields Clean Sheet 12%
Chester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Shields | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Chester
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 National League North
Chester vs South Shields
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Chester
4:0
Feb 8, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Chester
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 National League North
Chester vs South Shields
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Shields Compare
Top Goalscorer Scott C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Onanaye T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Chester Compare
Top Goalscorer Waters B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Shields 47 / 100
Chester 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Shields Chester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick South Shields Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: South Shields scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Chester conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: South Shields stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Shields VS Chester
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
South Shields
(Home) 24 Oct
South Shields
3 : 1 Chester
17 Oct
Halifax
3 : 2 South Shields
10 Oct
Macclesfield
4 : 3 South Shields
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2 South Shields
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
South Shields
3 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0 Witton Albion
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Spalding United
Page 1 of 3
Chester
(Away) 24 Oct
South Shields
3 : 1 Chester
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0 Bedford
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1 Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
South Shields
3 : 1 Chester
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 5 | King’s Lynn | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 6 | Hednesford | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:21 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:24 | 15 |
| 21 | Telford | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:20 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:24 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:26 | 7 |
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