Sport Picks
South Shields vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
2'
2'
Hazelhurst J.
(Penalty)
76'
76'
Campbell A.
86'
86'
Blackett P.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between South Shields and Chorley finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Shields.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- South Shields carry the better recent record into this one.
- South Shields are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
South Shields Clean Sheet 15%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Shields | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Chorley
2:1
Mar 10, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs South Shields
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Chorley
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 FA Cup
South Shields vs Chorley
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs South Shields
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Shields Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blackett P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Chorley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Shields 41 / 100
Chorley 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Shields Chorley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Shields found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Chorley has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: South Shields remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
South Shields VS Chorley
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
South Shields
(Home) 03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2 South Shields
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2 South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0 Witton Albion
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0 Witton Albion
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Spalding United
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
Chorley
(Away) 03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4 Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4 Chorley
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
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