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South Sudan U23 vs Senegal U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations U23. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Senegal U23 have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while South Sudan U23 have conceded 0.9 and scored 1. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Senegal U23. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
South Sudan U23
20%
Draws
48%
Senegal U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal U23 lately — more wins on the board than South Sudan U23.
  • Win probability leans South Sudan U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Senegal U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
South Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan U23 Senegal U23
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan U23 36 / 100
Senegal U23 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan U23 Senegal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal U23 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: South Sudan U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

South Sudan U23's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Senegal U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan U23 VS Senegal U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

South Sudan U23

(Home)
04 Oct
South Sudan U23
1 : 2
Djibouti U23
30 Sept
Djibouti U23
0 : 3
South Sudan U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
Page 1 of 2

Senegal U23

(Away)
05 Oct
Senegal U23
2 : 1
Gambia U23
03 Oct
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Gambia U23
28 Mar
Mali U23
3 : 0
Senegal U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -