Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Nsabimana A.
Own Goal
20'
20'
Malish M.
47'
47'
Muhire K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rwanda lately — more wins on the board than South Sudan.
- Model gives Rwanda a 59% chance of winning this.
- Rwanda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor South Sudan, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Sudan | Rwanda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Rwanda vs South Sudan
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
South Sudan vs Rwanda
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Sudan Compare
Top Goalscorer Malish M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ezibon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Rwanda Compare
Top Goalscorer Muhire K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mugisha D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Sudan 24 / 100
Rwanda 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Sudan Rwanda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Rwanda has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
South Sudan scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: South Sudan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Sudan VS Rwanda
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
South Sudan
(Home) 29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1 Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4 South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0 South Sudan
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0 Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5 Senegal
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1 Djibouti
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0 Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5 Senegal
05 Sept
South Sudan
1 : 4 D.R. Congo
22 Dec
South Sudan
3 : 2 Rwanda
Page 1 of 3
Rwanda
(Away) 30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0 Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0 Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0 Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1 Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1 Rwanda
Page 1 of 6
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0 Rwanda
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1 Rwanda
06 Sept
Nigeria
1 : 0 Rwanda
09 Jun
Algeria
2 : 0 Rwanda
05 Jun
Algeria
2 : 0 Rwanda
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
