Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Sudan W vs Ethiopia W

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kalsa A.
27' Event
Abera L.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Kalsa A.

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia W in this CECAFA Championship Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethiopia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
South Sudan W
6%
Draws
90%
Ethiopia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethiopia W have won more games recently than South Sudan W.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Ethiopia W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
South Sudan W Clean Sheet 10%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan W Ethiopia W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
South Sudan W vs Ethiopia W
0:4
Apr 13, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ethiopia W vs South Sudan W
3:0
Apr 10, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ethiopia W vs South Sudan W
11:0
Mar 1, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Sudan W vs Ethiopia W
0:3
Feb 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs South Sudan W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Sudan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ethiopia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalsa A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan W 10 / 100
Ethiopia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan W Ethiopia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan W's goal record stands at 29% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ethiopia W has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan W VS Ethiopia W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Sudan W

(Home)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
21 Jun
Burundi W
1 : 3
South Sudan W
19 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
South Sudan W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
Page 1 of 6

Ethiopia W

(Away)
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
21 Feb
Uganda W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
16 Feb
Ethiopia W
7 : 0
Djibouti W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uganda W330011:19
2Burundi W32016:56
3Rwanda W31023:43
4Djibouti W30030:100
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tanzania W321016:27
2Ethiopia W321011:27
3South Sudan W31021:63
4Zanzibar W30030:180
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)