Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton FC W

Sun, Jan 18, 2026

1 - 2

01:00 PM

Bristol City W

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

McAloine M.

Assist: Brazil E.

45'

Robinson K.

46'

Sub

Losada V. In: Syme E.

Out: Losada V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Women’s FA Cup game between Southampton FC W and Bristol City W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bristol City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Southampton FC W

39%

Draws

31%

Bristol City W

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Bristol City W come out ahead of Southampton FC W on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Women’s FA Cup game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 20%

Bristol City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Southampton FC W	Bristol City W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	13
Draws	5	5
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 WSL 2

Bristol City W vs Southampton FC W

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Jan 18, 2026 Women’s FA Cup

Southampton FC W vs Bristol City W

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Sep 21, 2025 WSL 2

Southampton FC W vs Bristol City W

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Feb 16, 2025 WSL 2

Bristol City W vs Southampton FC W

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Dec 8, 2024 Women’s FA Cup

Southampton FC W vs Bristol City W

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer McAloine M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Bristol City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Syme E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton FC W 31 / 100

Bristol City W 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Southampton FC W Bristol City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton FC W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Southampton FC W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bristol City W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Southampton FC W VS Bristol City W

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Hashtag W1

Oxford Utd W2

Luton W3

Mansfield W0

Plymouth W7

Maidstone W0

Winchester City W0

Gwalia United W4

Middlesbrough W4

Cheadle Town W0

Northampton W3

Sudbury W2

South Shields W0

AFC Fylde W5

Kidderminster W1

Redditch Borough FC W0

Charlton W-

TBD-

Actonians W0

Watford W5

Saltdean United W1

Bromley W0

Leafield Athletic W8

Crusaders W0

Port Vale W1

Worcester W2

Oxford City W4

Sherborne Town W2

Swindon W1

Dulwich Hamlet W0

Dartford W5

Forest Green W1

Keynsham Town W1

Bournemouth Sports W0

London Bees W5

Barking W3

Portishead Town W1

Billericay W0

TBD-

Liverpool W-

Huddersfield W4

Wythenshawe FC W2

Leeds W5

St Helens W1

Solihull Moors W0

West Brom W3

Nottingham University W1

Cambridge Utd W2

TBD-

Everton W-

Mancunian Unity W3

International Soccer Academy W2

Durham Cestria W6

Dronfield Town W1

Lincoln Utd. W1

Stourbridge W3

Halifax W1

Hull City W4

Birmingham W-

TBD-

Sporting Khalsa W2

Loughborough Lightning W1

Hednesford W2

SJR Worksop W1

Bowers & Pitsea W3

Wimborne W2

Brentford W1

Sutton W2

Torquay W0

Exeter W6

AFC Wimbledon W3

Chatham W4

Bolton W1

Ponteland United W2

Penrith W2

Altrincham W3

York City W1

Leeds Modernians W0

Wroxham W3

Lye Town W0

Farnham W0

Leyton Orient W8

Millbrook W0

Bournemouth W11

Haringey Borough W0

Bristol Rovers W3

Fulham W5

South London W0

TBD-

Manchester City W-

Portchester W6

Gloucester City W2

Worthing FC W4

Abingdon W1

TBD-

Ipswich W-

Durham W-

TBD-

Sheffield Utd W-

Chelsea W-

TBD-

Millwall W0

Cheltenham W2

Lewes W4

Corsham Town W0

TBD-

Crystal Palace W-

Manchester United W-

TBD-

Burnley W12

Blackburn W0

Stevenage W3

Norwich W4

Peterborough W4

Real Bedford W1

Manchester Laces W1

Wallsend W3

Coventry Sphinx W0

Derby W6

Stockport W3

Tranmere W0

TBD-

Sunderland W-

TBD-

London City Lionesses W-

Tottenham W-

TBD-

Leicester W-

Arsenal W-

TBD-

Aston Villa W-

Southampton FC W-

TBD-

Wycombe W1

Bridgwater United W2

Royston Town W1

Coundon Court W0

Bristol City W-

TBD-

Portsmouth W-

Newcastle Utd W-

TBD-

Liverpool Feds W4

Chester-Le-Street Town W0

Crewe W1

Boldmere St Michaels W2

TBD-

West Ham W-

Brighton W-

TBD-

Wolverhampton W2

Rugby Borough W1

Stoke City LFC W7

Sutton Coldfield Town W0

TBD-

Nottingham W-

1/64-finals

Oxford Utd W3

Luton W1

Plymouth W2

Gwalia United W0

Middlesbrough W3

Northampton W0

AFC Fylde W4

Kidderminster W0

Charlton W-

TBD-

Watford W4

Saltdean United W0

Leafield Athletic W2

Worcester W1

Oxford City W0

Swindon W3

Dartford W2

Keynsham Town W1

London Bees W5

Portishead Town W0

TBD-

Liverpool W-

Huddersfield W1

Leeds W3

West Brom W2

Cambridge Utd W0

TBD-

Everton W-

Mancunian Unity W2

Durham Cestria W1

Stourbridge W1

Hull City W7

Birmingham W-

TBD-

Sporting Khalsa W2

Hednesford W0

Bowers & Pitsea W2

Sutton W3

Exeter W2

Chatham W3

Ponteland United W0

Altrincham W1

York City W3

Wroxham W1

Leyton Orient W1

Bournemouth W7

Bristol Rovers W1

Fulham W3

TBD-

Manchester City W-

Portchester W4

Worthing FC W1

TBD-

Ipswich W-

Durham W-

TBD-

Sheffield Utd W-

Chelsea W-

TBD-

Cheltenham W0

Lewes W4

TBD-

Crystal Palace W-

Manchester United W-

TBD-

Burnley W4

Norwich W0

Peterborough W4

Wallsend W0

Derby W4

Stockport W1

TBD-

Sunderland W-

TBD-

London City Lionesses W-

Tottenham W-

TBD-

Leicester W-

Arsenal W-

TBD-

Aston Villa W-

Southampton FC W-

TBD-

Bridgwater United W1

Royston Town W2

Bristol City W-

TBD-

Portsmouth W-

Newcastle Utd W-

TBD-

Liverpool Feds W5

Boldmere St Michaels W0

TBD-

West Ham W-

Brighton W-

TBD-

Wolverhampton W2

Stoke City LFC W0

TBD-

Nottingham W-

1/32-finals

Oxford Utd W2

Plymouth W1

Middlesbrough W3

AFC Fylde W0

Charlton W3

Watford W2

Leafield Athletic W2

Swindon W3

Dartford W2

London Bees W3

TBD-

Liverpool W-

Leeds W0

West Brom W3

TBD-

Everton W-

Mancunian Unity W1

Hull City W2

Birmingham W6

Sporting Khalsa W0

Sutton W0

Chatham W3

Altrincham W0

York City W3

Bournemouth W5

Fulham W0

TBD-

Manchester City W-

Portchester W0

Ipswich W5

Durham W0

Sheffield Utd W1

Chelsea W-

TBD-

Lewes W0

Crystal Palace W1

Manchester United W-

TBD-

Burnley W7

Peterborough W0

Derby W1

Sunderland W5

TBD-

London City Lionesses W-

Tottenham W-

TBD-

Leicester W-

Arsenal W-

TBD-

Aston Villa W-

Southampton FC W10

Royston Town W0

Bristol City W2

Portsmouth W0

Newcastle Utd W4

Liverpool Feds W0

TBD-

West Ham W-

Brighton W-

TBD-

Wolverhampton W1

Nottingham W2

1/16-finals

Oxford Utd W3

Middlesbrough W1

Charlton W10

Swindon W0

London Bees W0

Liverpool W6

West Brom W0

Everton W5

Hull City W2

Birmingham W6

Chatham W3

York City W0

Bournemouth W0

Manchester City W6

Ipswich W1

Sheffield Utd W2

Chelsea W5

Crystal Palace W0

Manchester United W5

Burnley W0

Sunderland W0

London City Lionesses W1

Tottenham W3

Leicester W0

Arsenal W2

Aston Villa W0

Southampton FC W1

Bristol City W2

Newcastle Utd W0

West Ham W3

Brighton W2

Nottingham W0

1/8-finals

Oxford Utd W0

Charlton W1

Liverpool W2

Everton W1

Birmingham W8

Chatham W0

Manchester City W4

Sheffield Utd W0

Chelsea W2

Manchester United W1

London City Lionesses W2

Tottenham W3

Arsenal W3

Bristol City W0

West Ham W1

Brighton W2

Quarter-finals

Charlton W0

Liverpool W1

Arsenal W0

Brighton W2

Chelsea W2

Tottenham W1

Birmingham W0

Manchester City W1

Semi-finals

Liverpool W2

Brighton W3

Chelsea W2

Manchester City W3

Final

Brighton W0

Manchester City W4