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Southampton U18 vs Brighton U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Comley W.
Assist: Little M.
31' Event
Comley W.
Assist: Mcmullan K.
36'
Palmer A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Southampton U18 and Brighton U18 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Southampton U18
15%
Draws
37%
Brighton U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brighton U18 come out ahead of Southampton U18 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Southampton U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Southampton U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U18 Brighton U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2.5 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League U18
Southampton U18 vs Brighton U18
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Brighton U18 vs Southampton U18
2:3
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Southampton U18 vs Brighton U18
5:1
Dec 18, 2024 Premier League U18
Brighton U18 vs Southampton U18
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League U18
Southampton U18 vs Brighton U18
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Comley W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Brighton U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Parsons J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Newnham-Reeve B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U18 83 / 100
Brighton U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U18 Brighton U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U18's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brighton U18 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Southampton U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U18 VS Brighton U18
3.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Southampton U18
2 : 3
Reading U18
12 Sept
Ipswich U18
1 : 4
Southampton U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0
Southampton U18
29 Aug
Southampton U18
7 : 4
Norwich U18
22 Aug
Crystal Palace U18
1 : 4
Southampton U18
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Brighton U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4
Brighton U18
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5
Chelsea U18
05 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 1
Brighton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1
Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4
Brighton U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)