Sport Picks
Southampton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton 
Match Events
23'
23'
Charles B.
Assist: O'Brien Whitmarsh J.
37'
37'
Oyekunle N.
Assist: Rohart-Brown T.
39'
39'
Johnson B.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Southampton U21 and Middlesbrough U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southampton U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Middlesbrough U21 haven't matched Southampton U21's recent run of results.
- Southampton U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Middlesbrough U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League 2
Southampton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Southampton U21
1:0
Jan 27, 2023 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Southampton U21
2:2
Oct 30, 2022 Premier League 2
Southampton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
8:1
Mar 14, 2016 Premier League U21
Middlesbrough U21 vs Southampton U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southampton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Charles B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oyekunle N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Middlesbrough U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Patterson-Powell R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southampton U21 47 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southampton U21 Middlesbrough U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southampton U21 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Middlesbrough U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Southampton U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Southampton U21 VS Middlesbrough U21
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Southampton U21
(Home) 18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2 Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1 Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1 Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1 Bournemouth U21
14 Aug
Southampton U21
4 : 0 Blackburn U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
27 Feb
Southampton U21
2 : 2 Everton U21
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4 Leeds U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1 Norwich U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
