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Southampton U23 vs Birmingham U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 The Snows Stadium, Totton
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pearce L.
Assist: Payne L.
33' Event
Olaigbe K.
Assist: Pearce L.
37' Event
Williams J.
Assist: Chong T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Southampton U23 and Birmingham U23 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Southampton U23
15%
Draws
42%
Birmingham U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Southampton U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Southampton U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Birmingham U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U23 Birmingham U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2022 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Birmingham U23
2:3
Sep 27, 2021 Premier League 2
Birmingham U23 vs Southampton U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearce L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olaigbe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Birmingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wakefield K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U23 29 / 100
Birmingham U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U23 Birmingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Southampton U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Birmingham U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U23 VS Birmingham U23
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U23

(Home)
25 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 0
Southampton U23
13 Jul
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 0
Southampton U23
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham U23

(Away)
02 Jul
Hednesford
3 : 5
Birmingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
01 Apr
Fulham U23
3 : 0
Birmingham U23
21 Mar
Birmingham U23
2 : 1
Norwich U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)