Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southampton U23 vs Middlesbrough U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Southampton U23 Logo

Southampton U23

1 - 0
FT
Middlesbrough U23 Logo

Middlesbrough U23

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sykes C.
30'
Tizzard W.
35' Event
Smith J.
Assist: Dibling T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Southampton U23 and Middlesbrough U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Southampton U23
20%
Draws
36%
Middlesbrough U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southampton U23 come out ahead of Middlesbrough U23 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Southampton U23 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Southampton U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Middlesbrough U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U23 Middlesbrough U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
1:0
Aug 29, 2021 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Southampton U23
2:1
Jan 13, 2019 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Southampton U23
1:2
Aug 10, 2018 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
2:0
Apr 23, 2018 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Middlesbrough U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U23 31 / 100
Middlesbrough U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U23 Middlesbrough U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U23 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Southampton U23's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Southampton U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U23 VS Middlesbrough U23
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U23

(Home)
25 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 0
Southampton U23
13 Jul
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 0
Southampton U23
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U23

(Away)
20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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