Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southampton U23 vs West Brom U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Richards R.
45' Event
De Castro Q.
48' Event
Andrews J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

West Brom U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Southampton U23
15%
Draws
51%
West Brom U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Brom U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Southampton U23 haven't matched West Brom U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • West Brom U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Brom U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Southampton U23 Clean Sheet 10%
West Brom U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U23 West Brom U23
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2022 Premier League 2
West Brom U23 vs Southampton U23
0:1
Jan 13, 2022 Premier League Cup
West Brom U23 vs Southampton U23
2:2
Nov 28, 2021 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs West Brom U23
3:1
Sep 23, 2021 Premier League Cup
Southampton U23 vs West Brom U23
0:6
Apr 18, 2019 Premier League 2
West Brom U23 vs Southampton U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

West Brom U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Faal M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Richards R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U23 30 / 100
West Brom U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U23 West Brom U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Brom U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Brom U23 has conceded goals in 89% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Southampton U23 scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Southampton U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U23 VS West Brom U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U23

(Home)
25 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 0
Southampton U23
13 Jul
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 0
Southampton U23
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 7

West Brom U23

(Away)
27 Jul
Rushall
2 : 1
West Brom U23
13 May
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Wolves U23
03 May
West Brom U23
2 : 1
Fulham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Norwich U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)