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Southend U23 vs Colchester U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Tovide S.
90' Event
Walsh L.

AI Match Summary

Southend U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southend U23
20%
Draws
40%
Colchester U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Colchester U23 have won more games recently than Southend U23.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Colchester U23 taking it.
  • Colchester U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southend U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Southend U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend U23 Colchester U23
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2022 Premier League Cup
Southend U23 vs Colchester U23
1:0
Oct 8, 2021 Premier League Cup
Colchester U23 vs Southend U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Walsh L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Colchester U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend U23 18 / 100
Colchester U23 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend U23 Colchester U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colchester U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchester U23 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Southend U23 scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Colchester U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Southend U23 VS Colchester U23
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend U23

(Home)
14 Feb
Southend U23
1 : 5
Stoke City U23
25 Jan
Southend U23
1 : 0
Colchester U23
08 Dec
Fulham U23
4 : 0
Southend U23
22 Nov
Stoke City U23
3 : 0
Southend U23
08 Oct
Colchester U23
1 : 1
Southend U23
Page 1 of 3

Colchester U23

(Away)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3
Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3
QPR U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)