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Southend U23 vs Scunthorpe U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scunthorpe U23 in this Premier League Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Southend U23
30%
Draws
23%
Scunthorpe U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southend U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Scunthorpe U23 average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Southend U23's 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Scunthorpe U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Southend U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Scunthorpe U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend U23 Scunthorpe U23
Matches Played 11 8
Wins 2 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2019 Premier League Cup
Southend U23 vs Scunthorpe U23
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend U23 30 / 100
Scunthorpe U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend U23 Scunthorpe U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Southend U23 scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Scunthorpe U23 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Scunthorpe U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Southend U23 VS Scunthorpe U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend U23

(Home)
14 Feb
Southend U23
1 : 5
Stoke City U23
25 Jan
Southend U23
1 : 0
Colchester U23
08 Dec
Fulham U23
4 : 0
Southend U23
22 Nov
Stoke City U23
3 : 0
Southend U23
08 Oct
Colchester U23
1 : 1
Southend U23
Page 1 of 3

Scunthorpe U23

(Away)
25 Feb
Hull City U23
0 : 0
Scunthorpe U23
21 Feb
Newcastle Utd U23
6 : 2
Scunthorpe U23
13 Feb
West Brom U23
3 : 0
Scunthorpe U23
03 Feb
Scunthorpe U23
2 : 3
Hull City U23
29 Nov
Scunthorpe U23
3 : 3
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Doncaster U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Portsmouth U23 -
Huddersfield U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd U23 -
Plymouth U23 -
TBD -
Newport U23 2
Yeovil U23 10
Southend U23 4
Fleetwood Town U23 1
Shrewsbury U23 0
Scunthorpe U23 2
Cambridge Utd U23 2
Bristol Rovers U23 0
TBD -
Exeter U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Doncaster U23 1
Portsmouth U23 0
Huddersfield U23 4
Oxford Utd U23 0
Plymouth U23 2
Yeovil U23 0
Southend U23 1
Scunthorpe U23 3
Cambridge Utd U23 0
Exeter U23 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -