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Southend vs Aveley Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kamara S.
76' Event
Cardwell H.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Colclough R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Southend and Aveley finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southend.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Southend
20%
Draws
22%
Aveley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southend

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aveley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Southend's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend Aveley
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.07 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Southend vs Aveley
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Colclough R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kamara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Aveley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 83 / 100
Aveley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend Aveley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Aveley let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Southend stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS Aveley
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Southend
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4
Barrow
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
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Aveley

(Away)
29 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Aveley
25 Sept
Aveley
3 : 1
Ware
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
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