Sport Picks
Southend vs Scunthorpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Roots Hall, Southend on Sea 
Match Events
23'
23'
Popoola J.
34'
34'
Chambers-Parillon L.
54'
54'
Gale J.
AI Match Summary
Southend in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southend.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southend
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Southend have won more games recently than Scunthorpe.
- Southend are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Southend Clean Sheet 16%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southend | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League
Southend vs Scunthorpe
1:0
Apr 28, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Southend
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Southend
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Southend vs Scunthorpe
0:2
Apr 22, 2023 National League
Scunthorpe vs Southend
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Popoola J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Scunthorpe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southend 41 / 100
Scunthorpe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southend Scunthorpe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southend's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scunthorpe let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Southend stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Southend VS Scunthorpe
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Southend
(Home) 24 Oct
Southend
2 : 2 Halifax
17 Oct
Southend
1 : 2 Berkhamsted Town
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2 Southend
03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1 AFC Fylde
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Southend
2 : 2 Halifax
17 Oct
Southend
1 : 2 Berkhamsted Town
03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1 AFC Fylde
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 4
Scunthorpe
(Away) 24 Oct
Scunthorpe
2 : 3 Woking
17 Oct
Boston United
1 : 3 Scunthorpe
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2 Derby U21
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Boston United
1 : 3 Scunthorpe
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 38:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 31 |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 33:21 | 28 |
| 4 | Worthing FC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 27 |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 22:20 | 27 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 33:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:22 | 23 |
| 8 | Halifax | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 21 |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 10 | Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 16:21 | 21 |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Kidderminster | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 18 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Sutton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | 18 |
| 17 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:30 | 14 |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17:24 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14:37 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:31 | 4 |
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