Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026 Roots Hall, Southend on Sea

Southend

4 - 0

Truro

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Cardwell H.

45'

Bridge J.

64'

Walker J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Southend in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Southend

30%

Draws

39%

Truro

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Southend lately — more wins on the board than Truro.
39% — that's where the model lands on Truro taking it.
Southend have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Southend, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Southend here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Southend Clean Sheet 14%

Truro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Southend	Truro
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	16	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	1.9	1.15
Goals Conceded	1.23	0.96
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 National League

Southend vs Truro

1:1

Dec 13, 2025 FA Trophy

Southend vs Truro

4:0

Aug 23, 2025 National League

Truro vs Southend

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Bridge J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Cardwell H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Truro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 27 / 100

Truro 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Southend Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Southend scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Truro let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Southend remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS Truro

1.75 Goals Scored 2

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)

12 Sept

Carlisle

2 : 2

Southend

05 Sept

Southend

3 : 2

Yeovil

31 Aug

Woking

1 : 1

Southend

28 Aug

Southend

1 : 3

Kidderminster

22 Aug

Solihull Moors

1 : 3

Southend

Page 1 of 6

Truro

(Away)

12 Sept

Truro

1 : 1

Walton & Hersham

08 Sept

Truro

4 : 1

Leicester U21

05 Sept

Truro

3 : 1

Chesham

31 Aug

Dorking Wanderers

1 : 0

Truro

29 Aug

Truro

3 : 0

Dagenham & Red.

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sudbury 2

Leiston 1

TBD -

Hereford -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Bradford PA 2

Morpeth 1

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton -

TBD -

Southport -

Leek Town 3

Bromsgrove 0

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Basingstoke 1

Dorchester 2

Brentwood 3

Welling 0

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Chesham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay -

TBD -

Maidstone -

Alvechurch 1

Worcester 0

Real Bedford 3

Ashford United 2

Redditch 1

Gainsborough 2

Alfreton -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Chester -

TBD -

Clitheroe 4

Stockton 2

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Canvey Island 1

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Stanway Rovers 1

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Farnham 3

Bishops Cleeve 2

Wimborne 1

Portchester 0

Waltham Abbey 0

Chatham 2

Plymouth Parkway 2

Poole Town 1

TBD -

Salisbury -

Harborough 4

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Bath City -

TBD -

Bracknell Town 1

Banbury 0

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 1

Bamber Bridge 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford -

TBD -

Anstey Nomads 4

Stratford 0

Chorley -

TBD -

Worksop -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Spalding United 0

Corby 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Sittingbourne 2

Cray Valley 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Billericay 0

Stortford 5

Wingate & Finchley 0

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Hadley 0

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

St. Albans 0

Hanwell Town 2

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington -

TBD -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 3

St Ives Town 1

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Marine -

TBD -

Hyde 0

Stocksbridge 3

Slough Town -

TBD -

Gloucester City 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Walton & Hersham 5

Hendon 1

TBD -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Burgess Hill 1

Folkestone 4

TBD -

AFC Totton -

South Shields -

TBD -

Dunston 1

Hebburn Town 0

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Prescot Cables 2

Guiseley 1

1/64-finals

Sudbury 1

Hereford 5

Radcliffe 3

Bradford PA 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton 2

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Scarborough Athletic 0

Dover Ath. 2

Dorchester 0

Brentwood 0

Hornchurch 1

Chesham 1

Telford 2

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay 0

Maidstone 2

Alvechurch 2

Real Bedford 1

Gainsborough 1

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City 1

Peterborough Sports 2

Chester 0

Clitheroe 1

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Hampton & Richmond 0

King’s Lynn 2

Harrow Borough 3

Hemel Hempstead 1

Chelmsford 0

Horsham FC 2

Farnham 0

Wimborne 0

Chatham 1

Plymouth Parkway 4

Salisbury 3

Harborough 3

Enfield Town 0

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers 3

Eastbourne Borough 2

Bath City 2

Bracknell Town 1

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 3

Darlington FC 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford 0

Anstey Nomads 1

Chorley 2

Worksop 3

Kidderminster 3

Corby 0

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet 2

Sittingbourne 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 0

Weston-super-Mare 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Stortford 1

Cheshunt 2

Dagenham & Red. 2

Tilbury 0

Merthyr Town 2

Hanwell Town 3

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington 2

Maidenhead 0

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Stocksbridge 0

Slough Town 1

Gloucester City 2

Tonbridge 0

Worthing FC 4

Walton & Hersham 2

Farnborough 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Folkestone 1

AFC Totton 2

South Shields 6

Dunston 2

Macclesfield 1

Prescot Cables 0

1/32-finals

Hereford 2

Radcliffe 1

Solihull Moors 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 2

Aldershot 1

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Dover Ath. 1

Hornchurch 4

Telford 4

Altrincham 3

Yeovil 2

Maidstone 1

Alvechurch 3

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe 5

Peterborough Sports 0

Clitheroe 2

York City 1

Leatherhead 3

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead 0

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 3

Plymouth Parkway 0

Harborough 1

Carlisle 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Bath City 2

Southend 4

Truro 0

Halifax 4

United of Manchester 0

Hartlepool 1

Anstey Nomads 2

Worksop 0

Kidderminster 1

Gateshead 0

Morecambe 3

Ebbsfleet 3

Braintree 1

Forest Green 4

Weston-super-Mare 0

Wealdstone 2

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. 3

Hanwell Town 1

Tamworth 2

Boston United 1

Leamington 0

Rochdale 1

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 4

Worthing FC 3

Walton & Hersham 4

Sutton 1

Boreham Wood 3

Brackley 4

Woking 2

AFC Totton 0

South Shields 0

Macclesfield 1

1/16-finals

Hereford 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 0

Southport 2

Hornchurch 1

Telford 2

Yeovil 1

Alvechurch 0

Scunthorpe 3

Clitheroe 1

Leatherhead 2

Horsham FC 3

Chatham 1

Carlisle 0

Bath City 1

Southend 3

Halifax 4

Anstey Nomads 0

Kidderminster 6

Morecambe 2

Ebbsfleet 0

Forest Green 2

Wealdstone 1

Dagenham & Red. 0

Tamworth 2

Rochdale 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Brackley 0

Woking 2

Macclesfield 1

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde 0

Southport 1

Telford 0

Yeovil 2

Scunthorpe 1

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 0

Southend 1

Halifax 1

Kidderminster 2

Forest Green 0

Wealdstone 3

Tamworth 0

Marine 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Woking 2

Quarter-finals

Southport 2

Yeovil 1

Horsham FC 1

Southend 2

Kidderminster 1

Wealdstone 2

Marine 1

Woking 0

Semi-finals

Southport 1

Southend 3

Wealdstone 1

Marine 0

Final

Southend 1

Wealdstone 0

Southend vs Truro

England

Southend

Truro

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Southend Compare

Truro Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

Truro

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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