Sport Picks
Southern United vs Waitakere United
New Zealand
Football Championship 2019/2020 
Match Events
4'
4'
Brook C.
25'
25'
Tipelu R.
55'
55'
McKenzie C.
AI Match Summary
Southern United in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southern United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waitakere United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Waitakere United have won more games recently than Southern United.
- Win probability leans Waitakere United's way, sitting at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Southern United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Southern United Clean Sheet 20%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southern United | Waitakere United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.18 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2020 Football Championship
Southern United vs Waitakere United
2:1
Nov 30, 2019 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Southern United
2:5
Feb 3, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Waitakere United
2:1
Nov 18, 2018 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Southern United
1:1
Jan 28, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Waitakere United
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southern United Compare
Top Goalscorer Brook C.
1 Goals Assists Leader McKenzie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Waitakere United Compare
Top Goalscorer Tipelu R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southern United 28 / 100
Waitakere United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southern United Waitakere United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waitakere United has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Southern United scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Southern United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Southern United VS Waitakere United
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Southern United
(Home) 14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1 Team Wellington
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4 Southern United
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1 Waitakere United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1 Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0 Southern United
Page 1 of 6
14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1 Team Wellington
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1 Waitakere United
25 Jan
Southern United
2 : 1 Canterbury
21 Dec
Southern United
0 : 0 Auckland City
07 Dec
Southern United
2 : 2 Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 4
Waitakere United
(Away) 27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2 Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 7
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2 Waitakere United
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
17 Jan
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Waitakere United
20 Dec
Hawke s Bay
2 : 0 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42:15 | 37 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 36:15 | 34 |
| 3 | Waitakere United | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 27 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33:26 | 22 |
| 5 | Tasman United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27:26 | 20 |
| 6 | Hamilton | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24:39 | 20 |
| 7 | Southern United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25:38 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 30:32 | 18 |
| 9 | Hawke s Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 32:44 | 15 |
| 10 | Canterbury | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
