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Southern United vs Wellington Phoenix 2

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 28, 2020
VS
03:00 AM
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Southern United host Wellington Phoenix 2 in the Football Championship 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Southern United at 0 goals for, 0 against; Wellington Phoenix 2 at 1.88 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Southern United have won 2 to Wellington Phoenix 2's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.67 - 1.49) back Southern United to edge this. Southern United in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Southern United
22%
Draws
18%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Southern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Southern United.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Southern United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Football Championship 2019/2020 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Southern United Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 28 52
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2020 Football Championship
Southern United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Southern United
1:1
Feb 24, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:2
Dec 2, 2018 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Southern United
1:2
Feb 18, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 57 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Wellington Phoenix 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southern United scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 52 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Southern United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wellington Phoenix 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610