Sport Picks

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Southern United W vs Canterbury United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Collin N.
34' Event
Nixon G.
45' Event
Hislop A.

AI Match Summary

Southern United W in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southern United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Southern United W
6%
Draws
4%
Canterbury United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Southern United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Southern United W have won more games recently than Canterbury United W.
  • Model gives Southern United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 20%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United W Canterbury United W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
4:0
Oct 20, 2024 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
2:1
Oct 24, 2022 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Southern United W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Collin N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nixon G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Canterbury United W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United W 85 / 100
Canterbury United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United W Canterbury United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Southern United W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Canterbury United W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southern United W VS Canterbury United W
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 4.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United W

(Home)
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0
Southern United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6

Canterbury United W

(Away)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)