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Southern United W vs Canterbury United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Southern United W host Canterbury United W in the National League Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Southern United W have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Canterbury United W's 1.86 scored and 2.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Southern United W have won 3 to Canterbury United W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2025, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 2.06, favoring Southern United W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Southern United W
15%
Draws
57%
Canterbury United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canterbury United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southern United W come out ahead of Canterbury United W on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Canterbury United W taking it.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 10%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United W Canterbury United W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
4:0
Oct 20, 2024 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
2:1
Oct 24, 2022 National League Women
Southern United W vs Canterbury United W
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Southern United W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United W 10 / 100
Canterbury United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United W Canterbury United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Southern United W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Canterbury United W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southern United W VS Canterbury United W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
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Canterbury United W

(Away)
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Auckland United W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Fencibles W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Waterside Karori W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Wellington United W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Canterbury United W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 West Coast Rangers W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
9 Southern United W 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)