Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
McKenzie M.
62'
62'
Lloyd D.
90'
90'
Burton K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Southport haven't matched Buxton's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Buxton's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%
Buxton Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southport | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Buxton
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Buxton
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 FA Trophy
Buxton vs Southport
2:3
Nov 4, 2025 National League North
Buxton vs Southport
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 National League North
Buxton vs Southport
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer McKenzie M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Buxton Compare
Top Goalscorer Burton K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southport 22 / 100
Buxton 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southport Buxton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buxton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southport's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Buxton let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Southport has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Southport VS Buxton
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Southport
(Home) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1 Hereford
22 Aug
Southport
4 : 1 Bedford
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 4
Buxton
(Away) 26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3 Buxton
18 Aug
Bedford
2 : 1 Buxton
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 21 | Brackley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
