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Southport vs Radcliffe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
McAllister F.
72' Event
James T.

AI Match Summary

Radcliffe in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Radcliffe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Southport
15%
Draws
73%
Radcliffe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Radcliffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Southport lately — more wins on the board than Radcliffe.
  • Win probability leans Radcliffe's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Southport Clean Sheet 15%
Radcliffe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southport Radcliffe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Radcliffe
0:2
Feb 24, 2026 National League North
Radcliffe vs Southport
1:2
Nov 25, 2025 National League North
Southport vs Radcliffe
2:0
Sep 16, 2025 FA Cup
Southport vs Radcliffe
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Radcliffe vs Southport
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southport Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Radcliffe Compare

Top Goalscorer McAllister F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southport 23 / 100
Radcliffe 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southport Radcliffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radcliffe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Radcliffe conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Southport scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Radcliffe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southport VS Radcliffe
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Southport

(Home)
17 Oct
Southport
0 : 2
Radcliffe
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Radcliffe

(Away)
17 Oct
Southport
0 : 2
Radcliffe
10 Oct
Radcliffe
4 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3
Oxford City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 12 8 2 2 24:7 26
2 Oxford City 12 7 3 2 22:8 24
3 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
4 South Shields 12 7 2 3 21:18 23
5 King’s Lynn 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
6 Hednesford 13 6 3 4 23:19 21
7 Chester 12 6 2 4 15:12 20
8 Buxton 13 6 2 5 23:23 20
9 Bedford 12 6 1 5 16:16 19
10 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
11 Morecambe 12 5 2 5 18:12 17
12 Spalding United 12 5 2 5 14:11 17
13 Chorley 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Worksop 13 5 2 6 15:20 17
15 Marine 12 5 1 6 14:13 16
16 Harborough 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
17 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
18 Merthyr Town 13 3 6 4 15:16 15
19 Radcliffe 13 5 0 8 16:21 15
20 Brackley 13 4 3 6 15:24 15
21 Telford 13 3 4 6 13:20 13
22 Darlington FC 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 12 1 4 7 12:26 7
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