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Southport vs Telford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Southport host Telford in the National League North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Southport at 1.18 goals for, 1.64 against; Telford at 1.14 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Southport slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.31) point toward Southport. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Southport
30%
Draws
47%
Telford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Telford haven't matched Southport's recent run of results.
  • Southport are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Southport Clean Sheet 18%
Telford Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southport Telford
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Telford
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 National League North
Telford vs Southport
2:2
Jan 28, 2023 National League North
Telford vs Southport
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 National League North
Southport vs Telford
0:0
May 2, 2022 National League North
Southport vs Telford
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southport 40 / 100
Telford 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southport Telford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Southport scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Telford has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southport VS Telford
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southport

(Home)
24 Oct
King’s Lynn
0 : 0
Southport
17 Oct
Southport
0 : 2
Radcliffe
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Telford

(Away)
24 Oct
Telford
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
17 Oct
Telford
2 : 1
Darlington FC
10 Oct
Chorley
2 : 1
Telford
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 12 8 2 2 24:7 26
2 Oxford City 12 7 3 2 22:8 24
3 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
4 South Shields 12 7 2 3 21:18 23
5 King’s Lynn 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
6 Hednesford 13 6 3 4 23:19 21
7 Chester 12 6 2 4 15:12 20
8 Buxton 13 6 2 5 23:23 20
9 Bedford 12 6 1 5 16:16 19
10 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
11 Morecambe 12 5 2 5 18:12 17
12 Spalding United 12 5 2 5 14:11 17
13 Chorley 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Worksop 13 5 2 6 15:20 17
15 Marine 12 5 1 6 14:13 16
16 Harborough 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
17 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
18 Merthyr Town 13 3 6 4 15:16 15
19 Radcliffe 13 5 0 8 16:21 15
20 Brackley 13 4 3 6 15:24 15
21 Telford 13 3 4 6 13:20 13
22 Darlington FC 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 12 1 4 7 12:26 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)