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Sozopol vs Hebros

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Sozopol and Hebros finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sozopol
15%
Draws
20%
Hebros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sozopol come out ahead of Hebros on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sozopol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sozopol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 20%
Hebros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Hebros
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 22 7
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.87 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2013 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Sozopol
0:0
Aug 26, 2012 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Hebros
1:0
Apr 8, 2012 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Hebros
3:1
Oct 2, 2011 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Sozopol
2:3
Mar 13, 2011 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Sozopol
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 85 / 100
Hebros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Hebros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebros has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Sozopol scored in 72% of their last 39 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sozopol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4
Sozopol
Page 1 of 8

Hebros

(Away)
01 Jun
Rozova Dolina
3 : 0
Hebros
26 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Yambol 1915
19 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Hebros
15 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Vereya
09 May
Arda
0 : 3
Hebros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)