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Sozopol vs Rakovski 2011 Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Sozopol and Rakovski 2011 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sozopol
15%
Draws
39%
Rakovski 2011
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sozopol come out ahead of Rakovski 2011 on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Sozopol taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 14%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Rakovski 2011
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.05 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Rakovski 2011
4:1
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Sozopol
0:1
Apr 15, 2015 Vtora liga
Sozopol vs Rakovski 2011
3:0
Sep 20, 2014 Vtora liga
Rakovski 2011 vs Sozopol
2:0
Apr 12, 2012 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Sozopol
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 84 / 100
Rakovski 2011 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Rakovski 2011

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakovski 2011 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Sozopol found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Sozopol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS Rakovski 2011
1.5 Goals Scored 1.6
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.6
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
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Rakovski 2011

(Away)
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5
Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3
Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)