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Sozopol vs Rodopa Smolyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodopa Smolyan in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodopa Smolyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sozopol
30%
Draws
23%
Rodopa Smolyan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sozopol lately — more wins on the board than Rodopa Smolyan.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sozopol taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sozopol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 15%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Rodopa Smolyan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Rodopa Smolyan
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sozopol
0:1
Aug 7, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Rodopa Smolyan
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sozopol
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 84 / 100
Rodopa Smolyan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Rodopa Smolyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sozopol's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rodopa Smolyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sozopol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS Rodopa Smolyan
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4
Sozopol
Page 1 of 6

Rodopa Smolyan

(Away)
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0
OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Zagorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 7 7 0 0 24:7 21
2 Spartak Plovdiv 7 6 0 1 18:10 18
3 Yambol 1915 7 5 1 1 24:7 16
4 Maritsa Milevo 7 5 0 2 12:9 15
5 OFC Haskovo 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
6 Gigant Saedinenie 7 4 1 2 17:12 13
7 Rodopa Smolyan 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Sozopol 7 3 1 3 14:11 10
9 Neftochimic Burgas 7 3 1 3 13:12 10
10 Rozova Dolina 7 2 4 1 9:8 10
11 Zagorets 7 3 1 3 10:12 10
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 7 2 1 4 10:16 7
13 Dimitrovgrad 7 2 0 5 10:14 6
14 Botev II 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
15 Atletik Kuklen 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 7 1 2 4 11:21 5
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 7 0 1 6 4:15 1
18 Levski Karlovo 7 0 0 7 3:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)