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SP Cosmos vs Fiorentino

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Belward S.
Assist: Gjonaj A.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SP Cosmos and Fiorentino finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SP Cosmos
20%
Draws
23%
Fiorentino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SP Cosmos a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Cosmos Fiorentino
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Fiorentino
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SP Cosmos
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SP Cosmos
0:3
Dec 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Fiorentino
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Fiorentino
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Cosmos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fiorentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Belward S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Cosmos 95 / 100
Fiorentino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Cosmos Fiorentino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentino has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

SP Cosmos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Fiorentino has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SP Cosmos VS Fiorentino
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Cosmos

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
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Fiorentino

(Away)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)