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SP Cosmos vs San Giovanni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: SP Cosmos at 1.1 goals for, 0.77 against; San Giovanni at 0.82 for, 1.46 against. Past meetings favor SP Cosmos slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.63) point toward SP Cosmos. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
SP Cosmos
15%
Draws
17%
San Giovanni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • SP Cosmos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on SP Cosmos taking it.
  • SP Cosmos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor San Giovanni, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SP Cosmos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 20%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Cosmos San Giovanni
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Coppa Titano
San Giovanni vs SP Cosmos
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs San Giovanni
1:0
Oct 23, 2025 Coppa Titano
SP Cosmos vs San Giovanni
2:3
Oct 3, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SP Cosmos
0:3
Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Titano
San Giovanni vs SP Cosmos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Cosmos 85 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Cosmos San Giovanni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Cosmos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Giovanni conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

SP Cosmos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Cosmos VS San Giovanni
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Cosmos

(Home)
11 Oct
SP Cosmos
1 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

San Giovanni

(Away)
10 Oct
San Giovanni
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -