Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SP Domagnano vs Folgore

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Pancotti S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Folgore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SP Domagnano
15%
Draws
42%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SP Domagnano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Folgore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Folgore, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Domagnano Folgore
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.86 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Domagnano
1:3
May 2, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Folgore
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Folgore
3:7
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Domagnano
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Domagnano
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Domagnano 34 / 100
Folgore 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Domagnano Folgore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Folgore conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

SP Domagnano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Domagnano VS Folgore
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Domagnano

(Home)
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1
SP Domagnano
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1
Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Folgore

(Away)
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
05 May
Folgore
1 : 3
SP Domagnano
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1
Folgore
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3