Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SP Domagnano vs SS Murata

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bonetti M.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Bonetti M.
Assist: Guglielmi F.
53' Event
Bonetti M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SP Domagnano and SS Murata finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Domagnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SP Domagnano
15%
Draws
21%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SP Domagnano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on SP Domagnano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 68%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Domagnano SS Murata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 1.73 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs SS Murata
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SP Domagnano
0:6
Jan 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs SS Murata
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SP Domagnano
3:3
Jan 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs SS Murata
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonetti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferraro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Domagnano 95 / 100
SS Murata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Domagnano SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

SS Murata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SP Domagnano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Domagnano VS SS Murata
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Domagnano

(Home)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

SS Murata

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)