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Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sp. Luqueno play 2 de Mayo in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sp. Luqueno averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. 2 de Mayo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Sp. Luqueno won 1, 2 de Mayo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Sp. Luqueno and 1.50 for 2 de Mayo. This points to a 2 de Mayo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sp. Luqueno
25%
Draws
43%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: 2 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Sp. Luqueno picked up more points recently compared to 2 de Mayo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 16%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
0:2
Jan 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
0:3
Jul 25, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
3:2
May 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

2 de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres Aguero F. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barreto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 32 / 100
2 de Mayo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno 2 de Mayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: 2 de Mayo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sp. Luqueno attacking → ← attacking 2 de Mayo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

2 de Mayo let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sp. Luqueno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

2 de Mayo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 37
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115