Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs Guarani
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque 
Match Events
4'
4'
Ramos M.
5'
5'
Bogado G.
11'
11'
Maggi I.
Assist: Villalba A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guarani have won more games recently than Sp. Luqueno.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Guarani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 18%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sp. Luqueno
2:1
Feb 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Guarani
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sp. Luqueno
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Guarani
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sp. Luqueno Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintana S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Maggi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sp. Luqueno 36 / 100
Guarani 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sp. Luqueno Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Sp. Luqueno's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Guarani has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Sp. Luqueno has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sp. Luqueno VS Guarani
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sp. Luqueno
(Home) 09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Aug
Cerro Porteno
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
29 Jul
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 4 Sportivo Trinidense
26 Jul
Guarani
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 4 Sportivo Trinidense
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
10 May
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 3 Libertad Asuncion
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
11 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Recoleta
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Guarani
(Away) 12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
02 Aug
Guarani
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
30 Jul
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Guarani
26 Jul
Guarani
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
30 Jul
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Guarani
23 May
Recoleta
2 : 1 Guarani
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0 Guarani
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
