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Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion Prediction & H2H Stats

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

1 - 2
FT
Olimpia Asuncion Logo

Olimpia Asuncion

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
34' Event
Ramos J.
35'
Ramos J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sp. Luqueno
15%
Draws
57%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia Asuncion come out ahead of Sp. Luqueno on wins alone.
  • Model gives Olimpia Asuncion a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia Asuncion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Sep 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
3:0
May 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Mar 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfonso F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 14 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Olimpia Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sp. Luqueno scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Olimpia Asuncion let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Sp. Luqueno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Olimpia Asuncion
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Asuncion

(Away)
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 22 15 4 3 37:17 49
2 Nacional Asuncion 22 10 9 3 31:22 39
3 Cerro Porteno 22 11 5 6 30:22 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano 22 8 9 5 27:21 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense 22 8 8 6 30:24 32
6 Libertad Asuncion 22 9 4 9 34:26 31
7 Guarani 22 7 8 7 27:23 29
8 Recoleta 22 8 4 10 35:32 28
9 Rubio Nu 22 6 5 11 15:26 23
10 2 de Mayo 22 5 7 10 18:35 22
11 Sp. Luqueno 22 5 5 12 24:33 20
12 San Lorenzo 22 3 6 13 14:41 15
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