Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa Paraguay Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio, Itauguá 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Paraguay. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sp. Luqueno have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Recoleta's 1.21 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Sp. Luqueno slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward Sp. Luqueno. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Sp. Luqueno lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
- Model gives Sp. Luqueno a 36% chance of winning this.
- Sp. Luqueno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sp. Luqueno here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Sp. Luqueno scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Sp. Luqueno has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
