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Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

1 - 4
FT
Sportivo Trinidense Logo

Sportivo Trinidense

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Maiz A. In: Benitez F.
Out: Maiz A.
27'
Viera G.
36'
De la Cruz L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sp. Luqueno
15%
Draws
51%
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Trinidense have won more games recently than Sp. Luqueno.
  • Sportivo Trinidense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Sportivo Trinidense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 18%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Sportivo Trinidense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno
3:2
Jul 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Feb 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayer T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelino J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 28 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Sportivo Trinidense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Trinidense let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sp. Luqueno scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sp. Luqueno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Sportivo Trinidense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
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Sportivo Trinidense

(Away)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
5 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
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