Sport Picks
SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
75'
75'
Bermejo V.
81'
81'
Guerrero A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
SP Villafranca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Villafranca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Diocesano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to SP Villafranca lately — more wins on the board than CD Diocesano.
- Win probability leans SP Villafranca's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Villafranca | CD Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.29 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs SP Villafranca
4:4
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs SP Villafranca
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Villafranca 77 / 100
CD Diocesano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Villafranca CD Diocesano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SP Villafranca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
SP Villafranca found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: CD Diocesano conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.
SP Villafranca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SP Villafranca VS CD Diocesano
2 Goals Scored 1.29
2 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Villafranca
(Home) 27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1 SP Villafranca
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3 CD Badajoz
29 Jul
SP Villafranca
1 : 5 CD Extremadura
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 4
CD Diocesano
(Away) 10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
05 Apr
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 CD Diocesano
02 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 1 CD Diocesano
22 Mar
Jaraiz
3 : 0 CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
