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SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75'
Bermejo V.
81' Event
Guerrero A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SP Villafranca
6%
Draws
4%
CD Diocesano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SP Villafranca lately — more wins on the board than CD Diocesano.
  • Win probability leans SP Villafranca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca CD Diocesano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs SP Villafranca
4:4
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs SP Villafranca
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Diocesano
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 95 / 100
CD Diocesano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca CD Diocesano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SP Villafranca scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: CD Diocesano conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

SP Villafranca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS CD Diocesano
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Villafranca

(Home)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
SP Villafranca
1 : 0
Don Benito
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 Apr
SP Villafranca
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

CD Diocesano

(Away)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1
CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)