Sport Picks
SP Villafranca vs Chinato Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 game between SP Villafranca and Chinato finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Chinato haven't matched SP Villafranca's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on SP Villafranca taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 20%
Chinato Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Villafranca | Chinato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Chinato vs SP Villafranca
1:3
Dec 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Chinato
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Villafranca 58 / 100
Chinato 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Villafranca Chinato
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SP Villafranca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: SP Villafranca scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Chinato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Away concern: Chinato has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SP Villafranca VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Villafranca
(Home) 27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1 SP Villafranca
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3 CD Badajoz
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20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3 CD Badajoz
29 Jul
SP Villafranca
1 : 5 CD Extremadura
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
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Chinato
(Away) 20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0 Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2 Chinato
23 May
Chinato
4 : 1 Fuente de Cantos
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0 Chinato
09 May
Chinato
0 : 0 RCP Valverdeno
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20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0 Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2 Chinato
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0 Chinato
02 May
CF Trujillo
3 : 1 Chinato
18 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
3 : 2 Chinato
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arroyo | 38 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 100:22 | 95 |
| 2 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 63:38 | 81 |
| 3 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:23 | 78 |
| 4 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 63:29 | 78 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56:34 | 69 |
| 6 | Miajadas | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 52:52 | 56 |
| 7 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53:49 | 53 |
| 8 | Merida UD | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42:43 | 53 |
| 9 | CD Coria | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 10 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 41:62 | 45 |
| 11 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 45:46 | 45 |
| 12 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 31:42 | 45 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 53:67 | 44 |
| 14 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 59:83 | 41 |
| 16 | Moralo | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 32:43 | 40 |
| 17 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 60:67 | 39 |
| 18 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:77 | 36 |
| 19 | SP Villafranca | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 45:74 | 29 |
| 20 | Chinato | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:74 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
