Sport Picks
SP Villafranca vs Villanovense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
16'
16'
Martinez Angulo L. J.
79'
79'
Martinez Angulo L. J.
79'
79'
Martinez Angulo L. J.
AI Match Summary
Villanovense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villanovense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villanovense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- SP Villafranca have won more games recently than Villanovense.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Villanovense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 12%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Villafranca | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Villanovense
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Villanovense
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs SP Villafranca
3:1
Apr 27, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Villanovense
0:4
Dec 2, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs SP Villafranca
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SP Villafranca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Villanovense Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez Angulo L. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Villafranca 30 / 100
Villanovense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Villafranca Villanovense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
SP Villafranca's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Villanovense let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: SP Villafranca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SP Villafranca VS Villanovense
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Villafranca
(Home) 09 Oct
Santa Amalia
1 : 3 SP Villafranca
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1 SP Villafranca
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4 CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3 CD Badajoz
29 Jul
SP Villafranca
1 : 5 CD Extremadura
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 3
Villanovense
(Away) 04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0 Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3 Villanovense
12 Apr
AD Llerenense
0 : 2 Villanovense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
