Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sp. Villanueva vs CD Santa Marta

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sp. Villanueva
28%
Draws
22%
CD Santa Marta
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sp. Villanueva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Santa Marta lately — more wins on the board than Sp. Villanueva.
  • Sp. Villanueva are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sp. Villanueva Clean Sheet 20%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Villanueva CD Santa Marta
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Sp. Villanueva
0:2
Dec 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sp. Villanueva vs CD Santa Marta
0:1
Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sp. Villanueva vs CD Santa Marta
0:0
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Sp. Villanueva
1:2
May 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sp. Villanueva vs CD Santa Marta
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Villanueva 49 / 100
CD Santa Marta 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Villanueva CD Santa Marta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Marta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: CD Santa Marta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sp. Villanueva scored in 29% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Villanueva VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Villanueva

(Home)
13 May
Sp. Villanueva
0 : 1
Melilla
06 May
Almeria B
1 : 0
Sp. Villanueva
29 Apr
Sp. Villanueva
0 : 1
Roquetas
22 Apr
Ecija
1 : 0
Sp. Villanueva
15 Apr
Sp. Villanueva
0 : 1
Lucena
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CD Santa Marta

(Away)
15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2
Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1
CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0
Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0
CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4
Valdelacalzada
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Badajoz383251109:19101
2Jerez CF38278377:1489
3Extremadura UD38247777:2679
4Arroyo38228872:4374
5Merida UD38219855:2872
6Sp. Villanueva381813771:5067
7Ciduad de Plasencia381691354:4957
8Don Benito381581548:5053
9Sanvicenteno3813121347:4951
10Imperio Merida3811141359:5647
11Olivenza CP3812111534:4547
12Miajadas381281828:4244
13UD Badajoz381271954:6843
14Moralo381271940:5243
15Valdelacalzada389131635:5440
16CD Coria388102050:7634
17CD Santa Marta38872343:7031
18Montehermoso38862431:7930
19La Estrella38692327:8427
20SP Villafranca38652730:8723
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)